Thursday, May 8, 2014

Final 2014 - Round 18 - Two for the money

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Only two rounds left in yet another entertaining season that is coming to an end so, I'll try to make a short summary of what's left at the top of the standings and at the bottom of the averages table.

We also have the Copa Sudamericana teams...but honestly, I would have to write 200 lines to explain it so I will just say that: Gimnasia, Estudiantes and Boca are already in, plus Lanus will play it because they won the last edition. 
There are 3 places left that will go to two more teams of the season table (for now Godoy Cruz and River) plus the winner of the "Superfinal" that will be played at the end of May between San Lorenzo (champion of Inicial 2013) and the champion of Final 2014.

Gimnasia and River are tied with 31 pts, followed by Estudiantes and Godoy Cruz with 29 pts. San Lorenzo, Colon and Lanus have 27 but I can't consider them as candidates when they are 4 points behind with only 6 left in play, so we have 4 teams going for the championship.

Remember: goals difference DOES NOT matter. If two teams finished tied in points at the top there will be a game played in neutral ground, and it's 3+ teams tied the champion will be decided according to the games played between them in the tournament.

What's left for them:
Gimnasia: Quilmes (A), Boca (H)
River: Argentinos Jrs (A), Quilmes (H)
Estudiantes: San Lorenzo (H), Tigre (A)
Godoy Cruz: Olimpo (A), Racing (H)

It's obvious that River has the easiest schedule, but...if Gimnasia wins at Quilmes, I REAAALLY don't think Boca will try to take points from them and give River the championship. I know it's dangerous to talk about potentially fixed stuff, but that's one of the things that I can't even imagine.
But let's not get ahead of things, first we need to see what happens this next weekend. 


All Boys and Argentinos Jrs are gone, one spot left for 5 candidates (or 6 if we include Olimpo but they are 99% safe):

Tigre 1.267 (142 pts / 112 games)
Godoy Cruz 1.250 (140/112)
Quilmes 1.243 (92/74)
Colon 1.241 (139/112)
Rafaela 1.232 (138/112)

Tigre is almost safe, they are 4 points ahead of Rafaela and they meet this weekend so with a draw they will stay in 1st division.
There is countless combinations between the other 4 teams, but Rafaela is clearly the team in the bigger danger right now, and if they lose and the others win, they could be relegated this very same weekend.
Round 18 will begin on Friday...and I guess I don't need to tell you what games are the most important ones, you will easily figure it out yourself ;)

Friday May 918.00-- Olimpo (B. Blanca)-Godoy Cruz

Saturday May 10
15.00-- At. de Rafaela-Tigre
17.00-- Estudiantes de L.P.-San Lorenzo
17.10-- N.O. Boys-All Boys
19.20-- Vélez Sarsfield-Colón
20.30-- Racing Club-Rosario Central
Sunday May 11
17.10-- Quilmes A.C.-Gimnasia y Esgrima L.P.
17.10-- Belgrano (Cba.)-Arsenal F.C.
18.15-- Boca Jrs.-Lanús
21.30-- Argentinos Jrs.-River Plate



Averages (relegations) table:

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